UFC 304 odds, predictions, time, preview, fight card: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 picks, bets by top MMA expert (2024)

Belal Muhammad says he plans to prove his doubters wrong one more time on Saturday when he challenges welterweight champion Leon Edwards in the main event of UFC 304. Their five-round battle tops the main UFC 304 fight card starting at 10 p.m. ET from Co-op Live in Manchester, England. Edwards and Muhammad have combined to go on a 23-fight unbeaten streak, with the only non-victory coming in a no-contest against each other more than three years ago. While Edwards is now a celebrated champion, Muhammad's winning streak has come with little fanfare. However, he has repeatedly predicted a dominant upset victory.

Edwards is a -260 favorite (risk $260 to win $100), while Muhammad fetches a price of +220 in the latest UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 odds. In the co-main event, interim heavyweight champion Tom Aspinall (-370) takes on veteran contender Curtis Blaydes (+280). Before locking in your picks for UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2,make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani.

Vithlani made his SportsLine debut in January 2023 and swept the main card for UFC 283 with a 5-0 record and has been a consistent winner ever since. Over the past 13 UFC pay-per-view events, Vithlani has gone 10-6 on main-card picks and his selections in that span have netted his followers a profit of more than $1,200.

His highlights include predicting an upset for Sean O'Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card and his UFC 299 winners included underdog selections on Poirier (+190) against Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130). Anyone who has followed him has seen massive returns.

Now, with UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 on deck, Vithlani has studied the UFC fight card from top to bottom and released his top selections. You can only see those picks at SportsLine.

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 preview

Edwards and Muhammad share starkly similar career trajectories, and the arc of their UFC journeys has already included crossing paths with each other. Although welterweight is one of the most talent-rich and celebrated divisions in the UFC, Edwards and Muhammad are both among its least popular contenders in recent memory. In fact, both combatants had to embark on 10-fight unbeaten streaks before getting their first title shots.

Edwards (22-3-1) has often been criticized for his risk-averse style, a talented technician who does just enough to win while rarely engaging in the firefights that most fans prefer. Edwards is also soft-spoken and not prone to self-promotion, leading to a lower public profile. What's more, he took a nearly two-year hiatus during the Covid pandemic as opposed to enduring the logistical hassles it took for many UFC fighters to perform, particularly those based overseas.

However, the 32-year-old Birmingham native made the most of his return and ended Kamar Usman's reign at welterweight with a stunning head-kick knockout in the fifth round of their August 2022 matchup. Edwards, who will be making his third title defense Saturday, has now compiled a 13-fight unbeaten streak dating to December 2015. However, the lone non-victory in that span came in a no-contest against Muhammad in March 2021.

Muhammad stepped up on short notice to salvage a UFC Fight Night main event, but the fight left both parties unhappy. Edwards dominated the first round, but the fight was stopped early in the second after an accidental eye poke left Muhammad unable to continue.

Similar to Edwards, the 36-year-old Muhammad (23-3-1) has largely struggled to connect with the UFC fan base on a broad scale. Although many observers attribute this to his wrestling-heavy style that most fans frown upon, a generally unlikable personality doesn't help. This includes an open disdain for most MMA media and endless social-media beefs with other UFC fighters, most of whom apparently also hold him in low regard.

Even so, Muhammad's title-shot credentials are ironclad. His skill set appears to be improving with each fight, and his second-round knockout of prospect Sean Brady in October 2022 as a slight underdog catapulted Muhammad to the top of the welterweight rankings. You can see more UFC 304 picks at SportsLine.

UFC 304 predictions

We'll share one of Vithlani's UFC 304 selections here: He is backing Bobby Green (-115) to get the better of prospect Paddy Pimblett (-105) in a litmus test for both lightweight sluggers on the main UFC 304 card.

Pimblett (21-3) was marketed as a future star when he signed with the UFC three years ago, and the former Cage Warriors champion delivered early with stoppage wins in each of his first three outings, earning performance bonus for each. However, he has since struggled when faced with upper-tier competition and has been the recipient of a couple close decisions on the scorecards. Moreover, his once gregarious disposition has been replaced by a defiant and cantankerous one, causing numerous fans who once supported him to cheer for his demise.

Green (32-15-1) has been a gatekeeper of sorts for much of his 11-year UFC run. He has faced many of the sport's biggest names and, although he tends to come up short against world-class competitors, he's a step above journeymen-level opposition and continues to earn wins against notable foes. The 37-year-old speedy brawler earned a lopsided decision over fellow icon Jim Miller at UFC 300 in April.

"Pimblett doesn't have great offensive takedowns and will likely need a scramble to get this fight to the ground. Green is experienced and has faced his share of grapplers in the UFC. Green will land more damage and win this fight in enemy territory," Vithlani told SportsLine.You can see more UFC 304 picks at SportsLine.

How to make UFC 304 picks

Vithlani has strong picks for Edwards vs. Muhammad and other bouts on the UFC 304 card. He's also backing a fighter who "is dangerous with his diverse submission attack" to emerge with a huge victory. Those picks and his full analysis are only available at SportsLine.

Who wins UFC 304:Edwards vs. Muhammad 2, and how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on UFC Fight Night, all from the MMA expert who profited more than $1,200 on UFC main-card picks, and find out.

UFC 304 odds, fight card

See full UFC 304 picks, predictions, best bets here.
Leon Edwards (-260) vs. Belal Muhammad (+220)
Tom Aspinall (-370) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+280)
Bobby Green (-115) vs. Paddy Pimblett (-105)
Christian Leroy Duncan (-140) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+120)
Arnold Allen (-240) vs. Giga Chikadze (+200)
Nathaniel Wood (-425) vs. Daniel Pineda (+330)
Molly McCann (-350) vs. Bruna Brasil (+270)
Caolan Loughran (-195) vs. Jake Hadley (+165)
Oban Elliot (+120) vs. Preston Parson (-140)
Muhammad Mokaev (-145) vs. Manel Kape (+125)

UFC 304 odds, predictions, time, preview, fight card: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 picks, bets by top MMA expert (2024)

FAQs

How are UFC odds calculated? ›

If the moneyline odds on a fighter are +300, that means a bet of $100 would stand to win $300 (plus your original $100 back) if that fighter wins. A negative number generally indicates a favorite, which means the potential payoff will be lower.

What are the odds on Edwards Covington? ›

UFC Odds. Discover the latest UFC Odds for the Colby Covington vs Leon Edwards Dec 16, 2023 including point spreads, money lines and totals offered by US betting sites. The best odds available today for Colby Covington is +136 at DraftKings and for Leon Edwards -140 at Caesars.

How much is UFC 304 PPV? ›

The UFC 304 main card is available via pay-per-view on ESPN+, which also requires a subscription. The PPV price for UFC 304 is $79.99 for current subscribers. New subscribers can pay a bundle price of $134.98 for the UFC 304 pay-per-view and an ESPN+ annual subscription, which offers savings of more than 30 percent.

How do you read UFC fighter odds? ›

UFC Odds Explained: How to Bet on UFC Fights

The odds are always accompanied by a plus sign and a minus sign. These two determine whether you need to bet more or less than $100 to win $100 more. The favorite is represented with a minus sign, which means you need to stake more than $100 to win that much.

How often do underdogs win in the UFC? ›

How Often Do Underdogs Win in UFC? Betting underdogs win 30-40% of the time in the UFC. However, not all underdogs are the same.

What does 135 odds mean? ›

American odds always use a baseline value of $100. For favorites you are always risking the money to win $100, and with underdogs you risk $100 to win the amount. A -135 favorite means you must risk $135 to win $100 from the sportsbook.

What are the odds on McGregor? ›

Conor McGregor
MatchupOpen
Conor McGregor-140+16.4%▲
Dustin Poirier+120
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Jan 23rd 2021
Conor McGregor-175-19.3%▼
62 more rows

Has Covington ever been knocked out? ›

Covington faced Kamaru Usman for the UFC Welterweight Championship on December 14, 2019, at UFC 245. Covington broke his jaw in the third round, and would be finished by technical knockout in the fifth round. This fight earned him his first post–fight bonus in the UFC for Fight of the Night.

Who will win Covington vs. Edward's? ›

Edwards defeated Covington via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46) in the main event of UFC 296 on Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena. With the victory, Edwards successfully defended the UFC welterweight title for a second time.

What are the odds for the UFC 304 fight? ›

Edwards is a -205 favorite (risk $205 to win $100), while Muhammad comes back at +170 in the latest UFC 304 odds. The co-main event features an interim heavyweight title bout between Tom Aspinall (-380) and Curtis Blaydes (+300).

Is UFC 304 American time? ›

When is UFC 304 tonight? Date, start time. The main card will begin at 10 p.m. ET, with the main event cagewalks scheduled for 12:30 a.m. ET.

Who is headlining the UFC 304? ›

The event was headlined by a rematch years in the making between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad as Edwards put his welterweight title on the line. The co-main event saw Tom Aspinall defending the interim heavyweight championship in his home country against Curtis Blaydes.

How do you legally bet on UFC? ›

As of February 2024, DraftKings Sportsbook is the only one of our recommended sportsbooks that offers spread betting on the UFC. While other sportsbooks offer moneyline markets for UFC, DraftKings offers spread betting and wagers on the number of rounds.

How do you read fight card odds? ›

The number indicates the amount of money you would need to bet in order to win $100. For example, if the American odds for a fighter are -200, it means that you would need to bet $200 in order to win $100. If the American odds for a fighter are +300, it means that if you bet $100, you would win $300.

How do you read win odds? ›

Simply put, the greater the odds against a team, the larger the payout will be for anyone who bets on it. For example, 7 to 2 odds mean that for every $2 you wager, you could win $7 if your bet is successful, while 5 to 1 odds mean you could win $5 for every $1 you bet.

Who sets the UFC odds? ›

Vegas usually sets the standard and determines MMA odds for sportsbooks across the United States, but there are several factors that go into setting the odds that can differ from more conventional sports betting markets.

What does +/- 200 mean in UFC fights? ›

Understanding the Odds

For example, +200 odds means that a bettor would have to place a $100 wager to receive a $200 profit if the wager was successful. -200 odds means that a bettor would have to place a $100 bet to receive a $50 profit if the wager was successful.

How are odds payouts calculated? ›

Multiplying the fractional odds by your wager shows what profit you would collect. For example, 3/1 odds mean you profit three times the amount you wagered. A $1 bet at 3/1 would pay out $4 in total, or a $3 profit and your $1 original wager. Conversely, 1/3 odds mean you profit a third of what you wagered.

How are win odds calculated? ›

Calculating Odds from Probability

If you have a ratio describing probability, i.e. 33% or 1:2, calculate the odds by dividing the outcome you want over all possible outcomes (1/(1+2) = 1/3), then use the formula Odds = P / (1 - P), in this example O = . 33 / (1 - . 33) = . 5.

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